RBA Lifted Cash Rate To Prevent Inflation Staying Above Target Fo...

--Risks to both objectives shifted materially since previous meeting
--Downside risk to full employment objective appeared to have abated
--Members no longer confident financial conditions were restrictive
--Without policy res...

RBA Hunter: Labour Market Slack Not Necessary for Inflation to Re...

--Non-accelerating part of NAIRU definition is a bit outdated
--A bit too much pressure on both employment, inflation objectives
--Labour market remains somewhat tight
--Labour mkt persistent tightness consistent with inflatio...

Analysis: Could RBA Hike Again in March?

(This Analysis was first published on Wednesday, February 11, at 12:07 AM as an email to subscribers and trialists)

(For subscription options, please email Sophia@centralbankintel.com)

By Sophia Rodrigues

(Sydney, Feb...

RBA SMP Suggests Risk Of Cash Rate Rise To 4.35% Peak

By Sophia Rodrigues

--Forecasts based on cash rate peak of 4.4%, 5% higher TWI vs Nov
--June 2028 Trimmed Mean Forecast 2.6%, December 2027 2.7%
--Private demand growth much stronger than expected in 2H2025
--Total i...

Analysis: Updated Assessments Raise Probability of Another RBA Hi...

(This Analysis was first published on Monday, February 2, at 10:12 AM)

By Sophia Rodrigues

(Sydney, February 2, 2026) – Recent growth, labour market and inflation outcomes support an upward revision to the RBA’s for...

Preview: RBA To Keep Options Open After Delivering Hike Next Week

(This Analysis was first published on Friday, January 30, at 11:45 PM as an email to subscribers and trialists)

(For subscription options, please email Sophia@centralbankintel.com)

By Sophia Rodrigues

(Sydney, January...