Insight: Did Bullock Want Hold in February and Hauser Cut?
(This Insight was first published on Wednesday, March 5 at 8:49 AM as an email to subscribers and trialists)
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By Sophia Rodrigues
(Sydney, March...
07 Mar 2025, 12:05 AMRBA Hauser: Moving On From Narrow Path But Uncertainties Ahead
--We are moving on from the narrow path
--Two key uncertainties are global trade policy and spare capacity in local economy
--Board doesn’t share market confidence sequence of further cuts will be required
--February cut...
RBA Minutes: Acknowledges Extended Hold Or Hike Possible If Infla...
--Debated Hold Vs Cut; Case for cut stronger on balance
--Accepted risk of extended hold/reversal in future vs holding off rate cut at this meeting
--If inflation proves more persistent cash rate could stay at 4.1% for extended perio...
Analysis: AUD Weakness And RBA Policy
(This Analysis was first published on Monday, March 3 at 2:40 PM as an email to subscribers and trialists)
(For subscription options, please email Sophia@centralbankintel.com)
By Sophia Rodrigues
(Sydney, March 3, 202...
04 Mar 2025, 08:53 AMInsight: Bullock’s Transparency Approach Suggests UnAttributed Vo...
(This Analysis was first published on Thursday, February 20 at 8:21 AM as an email to subscribers and trialists)
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By Sophia Rodrigues
(Sydney, Februa...
24 Feb 2025, 11:19 PMRBA SOMP: 2.7% Trimmed Mean Inflation Profile but Assumes Mkt Pat...
--Trimmed /Headline CPI at 2.7% in June 2027 with cash rate profile in line with mkt
--Cash rate assumption (from mkt) includes 75bps cuts in 2025, 25bps in 2026
--Headline CPI profile 2.6% Dec 2024, 3.7% Dec 2025, 3.1% June 2026