Expect Dovish RBA Statement, Refined Forward Guidance
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 05 Nov 2019 , 12:00 AMIt is very unusual for both market and economists to be strongly expecting a particular outcome (hold) for a RBA board meeting when there are strong arguments for both cut and hold. In the end, it is entirely likely the RBA will meet expectations and leave the rate unchanged at 0.75% today. However, it will be "dovish hold" given there are still strong reasons for RBA to lower the cash rate again, and just last week Governor Lowe said the RBA is prepared to ease monpol again if needed. To signal an extended hold, the RBA would have to conclude that lowering the cash rate below 0.75% is not in the collective interest of Australians. I doubt the RBA can make such a conclusion now. So I am expecting a dovish statement and maybe some attempt at refining forward guidance.
LATEST SNIPPETS
Analysis: RBA Lowe’s Forward Guidance Viewed Through CB-Intel Stories
CB-Intel's last published article reviews RBA's forward guidance through the lens of CB-Intel stories.
... Published on : 08 Jan 2023 , 11:32 PMAustralia AOFM’s CEO Rob Nicholl To Join IMF
The chief executive of the Australian Office of Financial Management Rob Nicholl is leaving to join the International...
Published on : 22 Jul 2022 , 04:34 PMRBA Lowe's speech on Wed not under embargo
RBA Governor Philip Lowe will deliver a speech on July 20, but the speech will not be released under embargo, the RBA...
Published on : 19 Jul 2022 , 04:03 PMRBNZ Hike 50bps to 2.5%
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the official cash rate by 50bps for the third meeting in a row, taking the rat...
Published on : 13 Jul 2022 , 12:57 PMRBA raises cash rate 50bps to 1.35%
The Reserve Bank of Australia has increased the cash rate target by 50bps to 1.35%, marking two consecutive 50-basis-...
Published on : 05 Jul 2022 , 03:03 PMWestpac also ups RBA cash rate forecast to 2.1% by Dec (from 1.75%)
Westpac chief economist Bill Evans has raised his forecast for RBA cash rate, now expecting the policy rate to end 20...
Published on : 07 Jun 2022 , 05:21 PMCBA ups RBA rate forecast; sees 2.1% year-end, with risk of 2.35%
Economists at Commonwealth Bank have revised higher their forecast for RBA cash rate, now expecting the rate to reach...
Published on : 07 Jun 2022 , 04:58 PMNAB ups RBA cash rate forecast to 2% by Dec (from 1.35%)
Economists at National Australia Bank are revising up their RBA cash rate forecast following the 50bps hike on Tuesda...
Published on : 07 Jun 2022 , 04:15 PMRBA raises cash rate 50bps to 0.85%
The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the cash rate target by 50bps to 0.85%. The rate on Exchange Settlement balances...
Published on : 07 Jun 2022 , 02:47 PMAustralia net export to subtract 1.7 points from Q1 GDP
Net export will detract 1.7 percentage points from Australia's March quarter GDP, data published by Australian Bu...
Published on : 31 May 2022 , 11:44 AM