NAB Says RBA QE to End February 2022
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 29 Oct 2021 , 02:39 PMNational Australia Bank economists expect the RBA to end its bond purchase program (QE) by February, making it the first major bank to make a call for an end as early as February.
NAB economists have brought forward their RBA rate hike call to mid-2023 from 2024 forecast earlier. They also expect the RBA to drop the 10bps April 2024 bond target (they call it YCC) at next week's board meeting.
"The lack of the RBA’s commitment to the YCC target this week suggests the RBA will end YCC at next week’s November Board Meeting, which by extension will also include updated forward guidance by the RBA and require an upgrade for the inflation outlook included in the new set of staff forecasts released in the November SMP," NAB economists led by Alan Oster wrote in a note.
NAB's rationale for end of QE by February 2022 is that there is little use for the policy with most other central banks ending or tapering their QE programs.
LATEST SNIPPETS
No "reasonable" seller of April 2024 bond at RBA's QE
The RBA's bond purchase program included the April 2024 government bond for the first time since it abandoned the...
Published on : 08 Nov 2021 , 06:39 PMA Few Things To Consider On RBA’s 10bps April 2024 Bond Before 11:15 AM
(This snipped was first published on Friday, October 29 at 9:37 AM as email to premium subscribers)
The Res...
Published on : 29 Oct 2021 , 04:37 PMWill RBA Buy April 2024 Bond Today?
(This snipped was first published on October 28 at 1039 AM)
Australia’s bond market is once again tes...
Published on : 29 Oct 2021 , 04:36 PMNAB Says RBA QE to End February 2022
National Australia Bank economists expect the RBA to end its bond purchase program (QE) by February, making it the fi...
Published on : 29 Oct 2021 , 02:39 PMAustralia's core CPI in RBA target band for first time since 2015
Australia's Q3 CPI shows core inflation rising into RBA's target band for the first time since 2015 (and impo...
Published on : 27 Oct 2021 , 11:39 AMAustralia's big four banks on RBA's 0.1% April 2024 target
Big four banks on the RBA's 0.1% target on April 2024 bond:
--ANZ expects the RBA to drop the target wh...
Published on : 27 Oct 2021 , 10:55 AMANZ economists expect RBA to drop April 2024 target if guidance shifts
Economists at ANZ Bank expect the RBA to drop the 10bps target on April 2024 bond if it brings forward timing for the...
Published on : 27 Oct 2021 , 09:18 AMAustralian dollar currency notes on issue crosses 100 billion
The amount of Australian dollar currency notes on issue crossed the A$100 billion mark this week, rising to A$100.153...
Published on : 22 Oct 2021 , 05:25 PMSome Facts On RBA/AOFM Bond Lending Facility
Following RBA announcement after market hours Tuesday about indicative fee for borrowing (RBA as lender) April 2023 a...
Published on : 20 Oct 2021 , 10:12 AMRBNZ's Hawkesby Promoted to Deputy Governor
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has announced the promotion Christian Hawkesby to the position of deputy governor, ef...
Published on : 06 Oct 2021 , 12:00 AM