NAB ups RBA cash rate forecast to 2% by Dec (from 1.35%)
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 07 Jun 2022 , 04:15 PMEconomists at National Australia Bank are revising up their RBA cash rate forecast following the 50bps hike on Tuesday. NAB now expects the cash rate to reach 1.6% to 1.85% in the next two months (hikes of 75bps-100bps), and for the cash rate to touch 2% by December. NAB will publish a formal profile on Wednesday.
Previously NAB's forecast was for the cash rate to reach 1.35% by December.
"Our reading of the Statement suggests the RBA is now inclined to more quickly return monetary policy to a more neutral setting, which we see as in the 2-2.5% range," NAB wrote in a note. But it also reiterated: "We continue to think that cash rate pricing near 3.2% by Christmas and 3.85% in August next year, looks excessive."
LATEST SNIPPETS
RBA Cash Rate Unchanged but Key Message Removed
The Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate unchanged at 4.35% but pivoted to a dovish stance by omitting the ke...
Published on : 10 Dec 2024 , 02:40 PMRBA Cash Rate Remains at 4.35%, Still Vigilant to Upside Risks
The Reserve Bank of Australia maintained the cash rate at 4.35% and retained the key message that it remains vigilant...
Published on : 05 Nov 2024 , 02:44 PMRBA keeps cash rate unchanged at 4.35%
The Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate unchanged at 4.35% and reiterated the key message that it is not rul...
Published on : 24 Sep 2024 , 02:37 PMAustralia July monthly CPI up 3.5% y/y
Australia's monthly Consumer Price Index Indicator rose 3.5% y/y in July compared with a 3.8% rise in June, data...
Published on : 28 Aug 2024 , 11:40 AMRBA leaves cash rate unchanged at 4.35%
The Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate unchanged at 4.35% at the August board meeting and reiterated the me...
Published on : 06 Aug 2024 , 02:41 PMNew Zealand Q2 inflation surprises to downside
Headline consumer price index inflation rose 0.4% q/q in Q2, resulting in a slowing in the y/y pace to 3.3% versus 4....
Published on : 17 Jul 2024 , 08:51 AMRBNZ Leaves OCR Unchanged at 5.5%
At the July Monetary Policy Review, the RBNZ kept the Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5%, saying monetary policy wi...
Published on : 10 Jul 2024 , 12:31 PMAnalysis: RBA Lowe’s Forward Guidance Viewed Through CB-Intel Stories
CB-Intel's last published article reviews RBA's forward guidance through the lens of CB-Intel stories.
... Published on : 08 Jan 2023 , 11:32 PMAustralia AOFM’s CEO Rob Nicholl To Join IMF
The chief executive of the Australian Office of Financial Management Rob Nicholl is leaving to join the International...
Published on : 22 Jul 2022 , 04:34 PMRBA Lowe's speech on Wed not under embargo
RBA Governor Philip Lowe will deliver a speech on July 20, but the speech will not be released under embargo, the RBA...
Published on : 19 Jul 2022 , 04:03 PM