RBA may not turn dovish yet but acknowledge balance of risks have changed

By Sophia Rodrigues

Published On 05 Feb 2019 , 07:02 AM

One of the most awaited RBA cash rate statements is due today and hardly likely to be exciting. Key themes would be improved outlook for business investment -- non-mining and mining, continued positive outlook for terms of trade, and positive outlook for labor market. These would offset concerns about falling housing prices for now (also because households are getting boost from lower fuel prices). Stable for longer would be RBA's key message but that may not be evident today. I will look for "probability" in Lowe's speech and assessment of risks in the SOMP. Bottomline: The available information doesn't leave scope for RBA to turn dovish now but that doesn't mean they don't recognize the balance of risks have changed.

LATEST SNIPPETS

Australia Jan Unemployment Rate Stays at 4.1%

Australia's unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1% in January, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics sho...

Published on : 19 Feb 2026 , 11:39 AM
RBNZ Leaves OCR unchanged at 2.25%

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept the Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.25%, meeting expectations. 

Published on : 18 Feb 2026 , 12:08 PM
Australia Wage Price Index Rises 3.4% y/y in December Qtr

Australia's wage price index rose 0.8% q/q in the December 2025 quarter, leaving the y/y pace unchanged at 3.4%,...

Published on : 18 Feb 2026 , 11:38 AM
RBA Lifts Cash Rate to 3.85%

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the cash rate by 25bps to 3.85%, marking a quick turnaround from a 25bps cut del...

Published on : 03 Feb 2026 , 02:37 PM
RBA Maintains Cash Rate at 3.60%

The Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate unchanged at 3.60%, judging it appropriate to remain cautious w...

Published on : 09 Dec 2025 , 02:45 PM
RBNZ Trims OCR 25bps to 2.25%

The RBNZ cut the Official Cash Rate by 25bps to 2.25%, and flagged this may be the end of the easing cycle.

Published on : 26 Nov 2025 , 12:13 PM
RBA Cash Rate Steady at 3.60%

The Reserve Bank of Australia kept the cash rate unchanged at 3.60%, citing remaining inflationary pressure, pri...

Published on : 04 Nov 2025 , 02:36 PM
RBNZ lowers OCR 50bps to 2.5%

The RBNZ cut the Official Cash Rate by 50bps to 2.5% citing prolonged spare capacity and the associated downside...

Published on : 08 Oct 2025 , 12:15 PM
RBA Leaves Cash Rate Unchanged at 3.60%

The Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate unchanged at 3.60%, in line with expectations.

The to...

Published on : 30 Sep 2025 , 02:36 PM
Slightly More Emphasis on Upside Risks In RBA Bullock's Speech

Key headlines from RBA Governor Michele Bullock's opening statement at Parliamentary testimony Monday:

...

Published on : 22 Sep 2025 , 11:16 AM