Big Four Banks Forecast for RBA Cash Rate
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 17 Sep 2021 , 10:50 AMBig four banks' forecast for the RBA cash rate:
--ANZ expects first rate hike in 1H of 2024. "Our 'expected value' for the cash rate by early 2023 is above 0.1%, even though our central forecast is that the RBA won’t lift it until the first half of 2024."
--CBA expects rate hike in May 2023. "We retain our call for the RBA to commence normalising the cash rate from May 2023 whilst acknowledging the risks are skewed towards a later date for lift off."
--Westpac expects first hike in 1Q of 2023. Forecast for cash rate is 25bps 1Q 2023, 50bps 2Q 2023 and 75bps 4Q 2023.
--NAB expects first hike in 2024. "We think the first increase in the cash rate target could be 40bps to 0.50%, given the actual cash rate is likely to remain nearer the bottom of the corridor than the official target rate."
LATEST SNIPPETS
RBA buys A$500m govt bonds, mostly Nov 2027
The RBA bought A$500 million of April 2027 to November 2028 government bonds, focusing 65% of the purchase on the Nov...
Published on : 04 May 2020 , 04:19 PMRBA buying April 2027-Nov 2028 bonds
After pausing on Thursday, the RBA is back to buying government bonds via auction. The RBA is buying A$500 million of...
Published on : 04 May 2020 , 02:44 PMAOFM's run for strong demand at bond tender continues
The AOFM has sold A$1.5 billion of 3.25% April 2025 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.3888%. ...
Published on : 04 May 2020 , 11:05 AMAOFM tenders next week total A$10.5B
The AOFM has announced the following tenders for next week, totaling A$5.5 billion of bonds and A$5.0 billi...
Published on : 01 May 2020 , 12:06 PMStrong demand for AOFM's 2024 tender; coverage 4.8 times
The AOFM has sold A$3.0 billion of 0.25% November 2024 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.386...
Published on : 01 May 2020 , 11:06 AMRBA pauses for first time, No bond-buying auction today
For the first time since it began bond-buying via auctions, the RBA is not conducting any purchases today. Last week,...
Published on : 30 Apr 2020 , 12:03 PMHighlights of Australia Q1 CPI
Highlights of Australia Q1 CPI published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics Wednesday:
--Headline...
Published on : 29 Apr 2020 , 11:48 AMAOFM sells A$2.5B of 2032 bond but yld up, coverage down
The AOFM has sold A$2.5 billion of 1.25% May 2032 government bond at a weighted average yield of 1.0722%. T...
Published on : 28 Apr 2020 , 11:06 AMRBA buys A$500m bonds, total buying now A$49.3B
The RBA bought A$500 million of government bonds today, spreading its purchases across all the three bonds meeting it...
Published on : 27 Apr 2020 , 04:14 PMNo pause in RBA bond-buying yet
No pause yet in RBA's bond buying, with announcement today to buy A$500 million of government bonds maturing in t...
Published on : 27 Apr 2020 , 12:29 PM