Big Four Banks Forecast for RBA Cash Rate
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 17 Sep 2021 , 10:50 AMBig four banks' forecast for the RBA cash rate:
--ANZ expects first rate hike in 1H of 2024. "Our 'expected value' for the cash rate by early 2023 is above 0.1%, even though our central forecast is that the RBA won’t lift it until the first half of 2024."
--CBA expects rate hike in May 2023. "We retain our call for the RBA to commence normalising the cash rate from May 2023 whilst acknowledging the risks are skewed towards a later date for lift off."
--Westpac expects first hike in 1Q of 2023. Forecast for cash rate is 25bps 1Q 2023, 50bps 2Q 2023 and 75bps 4Q 2023.
--NAB expects first hike in 2024. "We think the first increase in the cash rate target could be 40bps to 0.50%, given the actual cash rate is likely to remain nearer the bottom of the corridor than the official target rate."
LATEST SNIPPETS
AOFM total tenders next week A$10.5 billion
The AOFM has announced the following tenders next week, totaling A$5.5 billion of bonds (vs A$6.0 billion this w...
Published on : 24 Apr 2020 , 12:27 PMAOFM attracts record coverage for 2023 bond
The AOFM's A$1.5 billion of 5.5% April 2023 bonds attracted strong demand with coverage ratio posting a reco...
Published on : 24 Apr 2020 , 11:13 AMRBA total bond-buying hits A$48.7B
The RBA bought A$500 million of government bonds today, taking its total purchases since it launched bond-buying auct...
Published on : 23 Apr 2020 , 12:00 AMRBA buying A$500M of May 2028-Nov 2029 bonds
There's no pause in RBA's bond-buying yet with the announcement today to buy A$500 million of May 2028 to Nov...
Published on : 23 Apr 2020 , 02:50 PMAOFM gets record coverage for A$1.5B May 2030 bond tender
The AOFM has sold A$1.5 billion of 2.5% May 2030 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.8460%. Th...
Published on : 22 Apr 2020 , 11:16 AMRBA buys A$500M bonds today; Total purchases hit A$47B
RBA buys entire A$500 million at today's bond-buying auction.
Following today's purchase, the...
Published on : 21 Apr 2020 , 05:56 PMRBA buying A$500M of 2025, 2026 bonds
The RBA is buying A$500 million of government bonds at auction today, maintaining purchases at the tapered level of y...
Published on : 21 Apr 2020 , 12:02 PMRBA total bond-buying via auction A$46.5B to date
RBA buys entire A$500 million at today's bond-buying auction.
Following today's purchase, the...
Published on : 20 Apr 2020 , 05:07 PMRBA tapers bond-buying further to A$500M
Further tapering of bond purchases by the RBA, with notified amount today of just A$500 million. The RBA is buyi...
Published on : 20 Apr 2020 , 11:48 AMAOFM sells A$3.0B Nov 2022 bond at 0.2544% weighted avg yield
The AOFM has sold A$3.0 billion of 2.25% November 2022 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.2544%.&n...
Published on : 20 Apr 2020 , 11:08 AM