NAB Says RBA QE to End February 2022
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 29 Oct 2021 , 02:39 PMNational Australia Bank economists expect the RBA to end its bond purchase program (QE) by February, making it the first major bank to make a call for an end as early as February.
NAB economists have brought forward their RBA rate hike call to mid-2023 from 2024 forecast earlier. They also expect the RBA to drop the 10bps April 2024 bond target (they call it YCC) at next week's board meeting.
"The lack of the RBA’s commitment to the YCC target this week suggests the RBA will end YCC at next week’s November Board Meeting, which by extension will also include updated forward guidance by the RBA and require an upgrade for the inflation outlook included in the new set of staff forecasts released in the November SMP," NAB economists led by Alan Oster wrote in a note.
NAB's rationale for end of QE by February 2022 is that there is little use for the policy with most other central banks ending or tapering their QE programs.
LATEST SNIPPETS
RBA buys A$500m govt bonds, mostly Nov 2027
The RBA bought A$500 million of April 2027 to November 2028 government bonds, focusing 65% of the purchase on the Nov...
Published on : 04 May 2020 , 04:19 PMRBA buying April 2027-Nov 2028 bonds
After pausing on Thursday, the RBA is back to buying government bonds via auction. The RBA is buying A$500 million of...
Published on : 04 May 2020 , 02:44 PMAOFM's run for strong demand at bond tender continues
The AOFM has sold A$1.5 billion of 3.25% April 2025 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.3888%. ...
Published on : 04 May 2020 , 11:05 AMAOFM tenders next week total A$10.5B
The AOFM has announced the following tenders for next week, totaling A$5.5 billion of bonds and A$5.0 billi...
Published on : 01 May 2020 , 12:06 PMStrong demand for AOFM's 2024 tender; coverage 4.8 times
The AOFM has sold A$3.0 billion of 0.25% November 2024 government bond at a weighted average yield of 0.386...
Published on : 01 May 2020 , 11:06 AMRBA pauses for first time, No bond-buying auction today
For the first time since it began bond-buying via auctions, the RBA is not conducting any purchases today. Last week,...
Published on : 30 Apr 2020 , 12:03 PMHighlights of Australia Q1 CPI
Highlights of Australia Q1 CPI published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics Wednesday:
--Headline...
Published on : 29 Apr 2020 , 11:48 AMAOFM sells A$2.5B of 2032 bond but yld up, coverage down
The AOFM has sold A$2.5 billion of 1.25% May 2032 government bond at a weighted average yield of 1.0722%. T...
Published on : 28 Apr 2020 , 11:06 AMRBA buys A$500m bonds, total buying now A$49.3B
The RBA bought A$500 million of government bonds today, spreading its purchases across all the three bonds meeting it...
Published on : 27 Apr 2020 , 04:14 PMNo pause in RBA bond-buying yet
No pause yet in RBA's bond buying, with announcement today to buy A$500 million of government bonds maturing in t...
Published on : 27 Apr 2020 , 12:29 PM