Big Four Banks Forecast for RBA Cash Rate
By Sophia Rodrigues
Published On 17 Sep 2021 , 10:50 AMBig four banks' forecast for the RBA cash rate:
--ANZ expects first rate hike in 1H of 2024. "Our 'expected value' for the cash rate by early 2023 is above 0.1%, even though our central forecast is that the RBA won’t lift it until the first half of 2024."
--CBA expects rate hike in May 2023. "We retain our call for the RBA to commence normalising the cash rate from May 2023 whilst acknowledging the risks are skewed towards a later date for lift off."
--Westpac expects first hike in 1Q of 2023. Forecast for cash rate is 25bps 1Q 2023, 50bps 2Q 2023 and 75bps 4Q 2023.
--NAB expects first hike in 2024. "We think the first increase in the cash rate target could be 40bps to 0.50%, given the actual cash rate is likely to remain nearer the bottom of the corridor than the official target rate."
LATEST SNIPPETS
RBA buys 2024 bond at 0.1142% weighted avg yield; 2030 bond at 0.9133%
The RBA bought A$2.0B of April 2024 government bond at a cut-off yield of 0.1075% and weighted average yield of 0.114...
Published on : 12 Nov 2020 , 06:26 PMRBA buying A$2B of April 2024 plus A$2B QE
The RBA is buying A$2 billion of April 2024 government bonds under the yield target policy, in addition to its purcha...
Published on : 12 Nov 2020 , 11:24 AMRBA may buy 3-year government bonds again
Three-year yield on Australian government bonds are currently above the 0.10% target, raising speculation on whether...
Published on : 12 Nov 2020 , 10:51 AMHeadlines from the RBNZ’s November MPS on FLP:
Headlines from the RBNZ’s November MPS on FLP:
-Plan to implement Funding for Lending Programme in ea...
Published on : 11 Nov 2020 , 12:09 PMRBA buying semis in March 2025 to May 2028 maturity
The RBA is buying A$1.0 billion semis today under the A$100 billion bond-buying program.
The purchase...
Published on : 11 Nov 2020 , 11:32 AMResults of RBA's Bond-buying Auction Monday
Results of the RBA's bond-buying auction Monday, consisting of A$1.5 billion under 3-year yield target and A$2.0...
Published on : 09 Nov 2020 , 03:54 PMRBA buying total A$3.5B under 3-yr target, QE
The RBA is buying A$3.5 billion of government bonds today, with A$1.5 billion as part of its 3-year yield target, and...
Published on : 09 Nov 2020 , 11:33 AMHeadline from RBA Nov Statement on MonPol
RBA Not Contemplating Further Reduction In Interest Rates
RBA: Focus Will Be QE Program, Prepared To Buy More...
RBA buying A$2B of Nov 2028-May 2032 at 1st QE
The RBA is buying A$2 billion of November 2028 to May 2032 government bonds (excluding December 2030 bonds) as p...
Published on : 05 Nov 2020 , 11:21 AMRBA re-opening media lockups?
It appears the RBA's media lock-ups will restart from Friday when the Statement on Monetary Policy will be publis...
Published on : 04 Nov 2020 , 04:16 PM